85% Odds for XRP ETF Approval Following Ripple SEC Victory

XRP ETF Approval Prediction Soars After Ripple Case Win
The crypto community is buzzing with optimism as the approval odds for an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) have surged to 85% following the resolution of Ripple’s lengthy legal battle with the SEC. With Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse announcing the conclusion of the case, experts and bettors alike predict it’s only a matter of time before an XRP ETF is greenlit.

Understanding the Significance of XRP ETF Approval Predictions
The current optimism surrounding the XRP ETF approval prediction marks a crucial turning point for the cryptocurrency market. Following the conclusion of Ripple’s protracted legal battle with the SEC—a case that began in December 2020 over alleged unregistered securities sales—the crypto community’s sentiment has shifted significantly. On March 19, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse confirmed that the SEC’s lawsuit would not proceed, leading to increased confidence in the approval of an XRP-based exchange-traded fund (ETF).
Historically, the regulatory scrutiny faced by digital assets like XRP has contributed to market volatility and uncertainty. Recent developments, such as the predictions from Polymarket, where the odds of ETF approval have soared to 86%, indicate growing faith in regulatory acceptance. This follows a trend in which the SEC has been gradually more open to cryptocurrency ETF applications, as seen with Bitcoin ETF approvals in recent years.
Whether XRP can capitalize on this momentum remains to be seen, but experts and bettors alike suggest that the upcoming months will be pivotal for the future of this digital asset.

XRP ETF Approval Prediction Boosted by Recent Developments
With the conclusion of Ripple’s legal battle against the SEC, the XRP ETF approval prediction has shifted dramatically. On March 19, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse announced that the contentious $1.3 billion lawsuit, initially filed in December 2020, had finally come to an end. This resolution has led to increasing optimism among investors, with many believing that an XRP ETF will soon be approved.
Growing Confidence Among Investors
Nate Geraci, president of the advisory firm ETF Store, stated on X that the approval of an XRP ETF is not just a possibility but “obvious.” He emphasized that it is merely a “matter of time” before the SEC gives the green light. This sentiment is echoed by users on the crypto betting platform Polymarket, who recently assigned an 86% probability to the approval of an XRP ETF in 2025.
Historically, predictions made on Polymarket have shown remarkable accuracy, with a Dune Analytics dashboard revealing that bets were correct over 90% of the time prior to resolution. This track record lends weight to the XRP ETF approval prediction, as sentiment continues to build.
Market Reaction and Analyst Insights
Despite the positive news surrounding the XRP ETF approval prediction, market reactions have been muted. Following the announcement, XRP’s price rose from $2.32 to approximately $2.44, marking a modest increase of 5%. Nicolai Sondergaard, a research analyst at Nansen, noted that while the resolution of the legal dispute was anticipated, its immediate impact on market prices may not have met expectations.

As the SEC approaches a decision regarding the XRP ETF, the crypto community watches closely, hopeful for a significant step toward legitimizing XRP in mainstream finance.
XRP ETF Approval Prediction Heats Up
The growing optimism surrounding an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval is a significant development for the cryptocurrency market. Following the successful resolution of Ripple’s protracted legal battle with the SEC, industry experts and market participants are increasingly forecasting an impending approval. With Polymarket bettors assigning an 85% likelihood to this outcome, confidence is surging. This could signify a turning point, offering institutional investors a more regulated vehicle to gain exposure to XRP.
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse’s announcement of the case’s conclusion not only brings much-needed clarity but also elevates the XRP ETF approval prediction to the forefront of investor discussions. The prospect of an XRP ETF could potentially unlock substantial capital inflow, boosting XRP’s market presence and accessibility.
Market Impact and Future Trends
While XRP’s price reaction has been modest, with only a slight increase to $2.44 post-announcement, the potential implications for the market are considerable. The anticipated ETF approval could enhance legitimacy and drive demand, ultimately impacting the broader landscape of crypto investments.

Read the full article here: XRP ETF ‘obvious’ as Polymarket bettors up approval odds to 85%